A brief sabbatical broke my winning run on the long shot series. Encouraged by Oliver Fennell following the outrageous suggestion Ray Austin could derail Wladimir Klitschko a few weeks back I enjoyed greater success with Steve Forbes who should’ve been awarded the upset versus Demetrius Hopkins, then Henry Maske who returned from a 11 year hiatus to outwork WBA Cruiserweight champion Virgil Hill and Clottey pummelled Diego Corrales at Welter. So this week…
Ben Carey, editor over at UKBoxingpress.co.uk believes beefy Pole Thomasz Bonin could upset the lucrative and aspiring David Haye applecart this weekend, suggesting Haye’s suspect chin and the deficiencies evident in his victory over Fragomeni make Bonin a live opponent and capable of pulling the upset. This despite Bonin being ranked by the WBC and Haye debuting at the weight. I’m not sure whether such a victory would count as an upset, Haye is a heavy favourite but there is plenty of evidence to suggest it is closer than bookies make it.
My long-shot pick is for the much maligned Arturo Morua to surprise wild punching Ricardo Torres in their clash for the WBO Light-Welterweight championship. Morua is vilified in these shores for his back foot, negative performance versus Junior Witter earlier this year. A fight in which the Mexican belied his roots and avoid exchanges. The abject nature of his performance was a mystery, and ranks alongside the baffling performance of Lujan against Jamie Moore last month.
However victories over Carlos Maussa, Cosme Rivera, Omar Weis, Jung Bum Kim and the always tricky Emanuel Augustus suggest there is fight and ability within the 28 year old. Torres wont offer the same speed and skills of Witter and Rabah who have both beaten him and though Torres’ power could force him back into the shell he inhabited for the Witter bout, I believe he could spring a tight points surprise.
Torres is wild and dangerous but aside from a Split points win over Mike Arnaoutis last time out his record is bereft of known quality. He will start favourite because of the punishment he dished out to Miguel Cotto before succumbing in seven, but Cotto was severely weight drained and I question the true quality of Torres’ power.
There you have it, the oft-criticised Artuor Morua to be a ‘world champion’ by Monday.